Using Reverse Line Movement To Win

The records quoted below are based on the bets being made at the triggering books, so beating the move by a half-point or a few cents now and then would actually make your record even better.

To back this up, our friends over at Prosportsonline.net have tracked the records for games where over 60 percent of the public has been on one side, yet there was reverse line movement of at least one full point from the opening number at the top sportsbooks in NFL, NCAAF, NBA and NCAAB. Carib ruled the roost season at 93-66-9, 58.5 percent, +18.55 units after ABC held the penthouse spot in the 2007-08 season.

Article Directory: http://www.articledashboard.com

By: Manny G

. Furthermore, they list the RLM records for many individual sportsbook, making it easy to spot which books this system is working at and which books it may be best to ignore.

The highest two-year winning percentage using RLM from the top five books belongs to College Football, which went 480-341-10, 58.5 percent, +95.10 units. This is where an important word of caution is in order though. Note that these records are for sides only and do not include totals.

The NFL sports betting is generally considered the toughest sport to beat, yet blindly following this method produced an exceptional 59.2 percent win rate last season, improving the two year record to 328-249-12, 56.8 percent, +59.06 units. Last year was a good RLM season for NFL sports betting (45-29, 60.8 percent, +11.91), but two sportsbooks that were in the top five in NFL RLM in both seasons.

The proper way to make a sports bet using reverse line movement is to place your bet as soon as there is an RLM of one full point (or 10 cents in MLB and NHL) off of the opening line.

Now do the sharps win every single time? Absolutely not! However, they are right more often than they are wrong, so being on the same side as the sharps is a prudent strategy over the long run, and again, the best thing is that there in absolutely no conventional sports handicapping necessary..

College Basketball sports betting was not too shabby either, with a two-year mark of 492-356-22, 58.0 percent, +91.96 units. Keep a close eye on Canbet here, as that Australian sportsbook cracked the top five both years.

So what we recommend is to only use the top five each season for each individual sport (in terms of units won). Another important recommendation is to use a slow moving (but reliable) sportsbook. It should be noted that many fewer MLB games have qualified so far this season (is the whole world using RLM now?), but smaller profits is still profit.Again, these records are for Money Lines only and do not include totals.Finally, NHL sports betting has picked up 148.49 units in two years, and unlike MLB, NHL had four sportsbooks out of the top five gain double-digit units this past season. The huge problem with this is that the nfl line, ncaaf line or nhl line may have moved too much by that time, and all of the value has been sucked out of the unpopular side.

Also, games where over 60 percent of the public are on one side, yet there is reverse line movement of at least 10 cents on the Money Line from the opening number at the top five sportsbooks in MLB and NHL sports betting has also been profitable. Keep an eyes on the top five sportsbooks at Sports Insights though, as NCAAF sports betting has been very liquid in that regard, with only one sportsbook (believe it or not, Bodog) finishing in the top five both years.

prosportsonline.net

Thus, following reverse line movements is the same thing a following the smart money. Sure, using this approach leaves open the possibility of the line turning around and moving back against you, but as you will see in bit, betting as soon as an RLM qualifies has been profitable in every major North American sport such as the last two seasons, so if one line turns around, so be it. All of this will be fun to follow (not to mention profitable) when every sport except baseball are going on simultaneously during the winter months.

http://prosportsonline.net

So what exactly is reverse line movement? RLM takes place when a large majority of bets are on one team, yet the line moves in the opposite direction. Quite a few RLM followers watch the moves until almost game time, and then bet accordingly. We tracked the top five books for each of the pointspread sports for the last two years, as as you can see, this strategy has been profitable in every sport. Keep in mind that NCAAB was the most liquid sport in terms of top-five sportbooks however, with not a single sportsbook making the top five both years. However, instead of the line rising as you might expect, it instead drops to Chargers -6. To illustrate, let us say that San Diego Chargers open at -7 over the Miami Dolohins, and over 70 percent of the sports bets placed on the game are on San Diego. RLM takes place when more money/ sportsbook picks are bet by the small percentage of bettors that are on the unpopular side (the sharps) than is bet by the huge majority of players betting the popular side (the squares). This may enable you to get the stale more favorable sports betting line at the time the reverse line movement hits at the triggering Sportsbook. This would make Miami +6 the RLM play.

So what causes RLM when the aim of most sportsbooks is to get as close to balanced action on both sides as possible? The answer to this is quite simple: the sharp bettors; the one’s who give sports betting advice.

NBA sports betting has the lowest two-year five-book RLM winning percentage among the 11/10 sports, but then again, every gambler in the world would kill to go 382-301-9, 55.9 percent, +48.90 units, and the 57.5 percent win rate this past season is nothing to sneeze at

Delaware Park Patron Wins $100,000 Pro Football Parlay

Best of all, his ticket cost

only $5.

. For more information on Delaware

Park, visit www.delawarepark.com.

About Delaware Park

WILMINGTON, Del.–(BUSINESS WIRE)–The Eagles and Ravens weren’t the only big winners this past weekend. “Sports betting brings a tremendous amount of excitement to our

facility, and there is no better place to watch a pro football game on

Sundays or Monday nights.”

Delaware Park is a multi-faceted gaming facility offering guests live

seasonal Thoroughbred racing, year-round simulcasting from around the

globe, live table games, a 20-table poker room and 25-table dedicated

tournament room, 2,500 exciting slot machines on two spacious levels,

one of only three sports parlay betting venues on the East Coast and

White Clay Creek Country Club, featuring a world-class 18-hole

championship golf course. The customer was the first winner of the 15-team parlay offered at

Delaware Park through the Delaware Lottery since the parlay option

started two years ago.

“We are thrilled that a Delaware Park customer was the first to win the

15-team parlay,” said Delaware Park Chief Operating Officer Andrew

Gentile. Delaware Park is located minutes south of

Wilmington and the Delaware Memorial Bridge and just north of the

Maryland state line on I-95 at exit 4B. A

Delaware Park patron won $100,000 after picking those two teams to win

their games, completing a run of 15 consecutive correct picks of pro

football game winners against the spread

2 brothers sentenced in California for running international sports betting ring

Erik Portocarrero was given 22 months. They also were fined $50,000.

An FBI investigation began in 2011 and led to 18 arrests in Los Angeles, San Diego and Norway, where Erik Portocarrero lived at the time.

Nearly $12 million in assets were seized.

A judge in San Diego sentenced Jan Portocarrero to 18 months on Friday. All 18 have now pleaded guilty.

SAN DIEGO –  Two brothers who ran an international sports betting ring have been sentenced in California to federal prison.

Authorities say the company took millions of dollars in bets from customers throughout California, strong-armed debtors and laundered proceeds.

The two pleaded guilty to racketeering.

Prosecutors say the brothers ran an Internet and telephone gambling enterprise called “Macho Sports” for more than a decade from a headquarters in Lima, Peru.

How to Make Money Handicapping Horse Races and Betting on Horseracing

There are thousands of people trying to make a living from horse racing by handicapping the horse races and then betting on horse races. The only work they do is to walk into the club house and maybe read a simple list of horses and riders. The ones who depend upon luck or some other esoteric method are more like lottery players than handicappers, but the thing they all have in common is that all there money goes into the same pool and some from each group will be successful while many will not.

Your chances of success are much greater if you educate yourself, prepare, practice, and work hard, but there are no guarantees. The thrill of winning is probably pretty close to the same for each group, though the handicappers also have the satisfaction of working hard and getting rewarded for it.

For some people, horse racing handicapping is an intellectual sport and they prepare themselves and work hard at it. There are many more people, perhaps millions around the world, trying to make money betting on horse races depending upon luck or some other system to be a winner.

The big advantage that the handicapper has over the gambler is that he or she has an idea of each horse’s chances of winning and therefore, how much a horse has to pay to win in order to make money on such bets in the long run. If the success rate for handicappers is 5-10% then it is probably 1-2% for those depending upon luck.

. That edge is what separates gamblers from handicappers and is why, in the long run, handicappers win more, but in all fairness, they don’t just win it, they earn it.

The way you make money handicapping and betting on horse races is in finding a good bet.

On the other hand, the ones who depend upon luck invest nothing but money and very little time

Crime gangs launder $140 billion through sports betting

A number of soccer leagues have been hit by match-fixing scandals in recent years and three Pakistani cricketers were jailed for a plot to deliberately bowl no balls during a test match against England at Lord’s in 2010.

“The rapid evolution of the global sports betting market has seen an increased risk of infiltration by organised crime and money laundering,” said Chris Eaton of the Qatar-based International Centre for Sport Security (ICSS).

PARIS Criminals are using betting on sports events to launder $140 billion each year, a report said on Thursday, exposing a lack of effective regulation that allows match-fixing to spread.

According to the report, 53 per cent of the illegal betting comes from Asia, while 49 per cent of the legal market is based in Europe.

Several territories were identified as “sports betting havens”, with England topping the list with 114 online betting licences granted, ahead of Malta (86).

“It’s too important to be left to the bite of compromise,” said Eaton.

Soccer and cricket were identified as the sports most threatened by criminals seeking to rig the gambling market but tennis, basketball, motor racing and badminton were also affected, according to the report, which is based on a two-year research.

Among solutions, the report recommended a sports betting tax to finance investigations into match-fixing and closer cooperation between betting companies and sporting bodies.

“If we do nothing sport will become to be seen as an arena of corruption.”

(Reporting by Julien Pretot and Keith Weir, Editing by Ed Osmond/Amlan Chakraborty)

The report, compiled by the ICSS think-tank and the Sorbonne university in Paris, said that 80 percent of global sports betting was being carried out on illegal markets, placing it beyond the reach of regulators and investigators.

“The problem is getting worse,” Mohammed Hanzab, president of the ICSS, said in his opening speech at the Sorbonne on Thursday.

Technology and live television have transformed the sports betting market in recent years, allowing viewers to bet on a wider range of events and gamble in real time as a match progresses.

Eaton, a former head of security at FIFA, said the changes have made suspect betting patterns harder to spot.

Horse Racing Systems: 5 That Work

My computer studies of pedigree, based on nearly 100,000 races, suggest that using pedigree in that manner offers no advantage to the player.

Looking for a dead simple horse racing system that will allow you to quit your job and make a living betting the horses in just 10 minutes a day? Good luck with that!

None of these systems will make you rich, or even guarantee that you will make a profit. They will, however increase the chances of a profitable day at the races by ensuring that your wager dollars go where they have the best chance of success. This offers opportunity to more diligent players.

Horse Racing System #4 – Bet low-priced favorites to place. Let me let you in on a little secret about these “magic formulas”. The inside post combined with early speed is a particularly potent combination, since the horse will not have to exert himself as much to gain his preferred position at the front of the pack.

Second, the very nature of the parimutuel system itself means that any profits to be made from following a particular set of rules will quickly be arbitraged away as the followers of that system drive down the odds of horses chosen by the system.

This causes the favorite to be under bet in the place pool, leading to a profit opportunity for us to take advantage of by betting the favorite to place. In most case the public seems to take a horse’s last running line at face value. The horse with the best combination of the two is the play.

The horse with the best last race speed figure (whether Beyer, BRIS, or Equibase) may not be the best horse in the race, but he’s probably not far off, so we can use that as a proxy for selection purposes.

Horse Racing System #2 – Bet horses that have an excuse for a poor performance in their last race. Few bother to even look at the comment line for the race, let alone take the trouble to seek out and watch the replay of the race. It should go without saying that you should actually like the favorite’s chances after evaluating the race with your own handicapping.

For instance, many speed figure handicappers reported making horse racing profits in the 60’s and 70’s simply by betting horses with the best last race speed figure. It must follow, therefore, that if we bet the best horse that has started at least twice, we stand an excellent chance of beating the takeout, particularly in races that have several first and second time starters.

However, just because systems won’t make you rich doesn’t mean there’s no place for them at all in a horseplayer’s arsenal. If the tote board suggests that the public is overlooking these mitigating circumstances, make your play.

How do we identify the best pedigree, then? If you’re using the DRF past performances, use the stud fee as a proxy for quality, and the Tomlinson figure to judge suitability for the distance and surface. Just don’t expect to quit your day job.

Horse Racing System #5 – Bet Horses breaking from the inside post in route races. Most people who love horse racing would be thrilled just to win a little more and lose a little less on their trips to the track.

In fact, pedigree does not generally offer wager value with one curious exception: well bred horses do surprisingly well in maiden claiming races. Because speed figures have gained in popularity over the years, anyone following that system now would have trouble coming up with gas money for the ride home from the track.

Nunamaker reported that the inside post in dirt route races won at a 20% greater than expected rate, and lost only 10 cents on the dollar, much better than the track take. One of the few anomalies turned up by Michael Nunamaker in his pioneering computer study “Modern Impact Values”, published in 1994, was that horses breaking from the inside post position in route races won more than their fair share of races, and were under-bet by the public.

Instead of blindly betting all horses breaking from the inside, you might use this to supplement your handicapping, paying particular attention to the inside horse, and betting it when you like the horse on other handicapping grounds. This is somewhat counter-intuitive since you’d expect that horses with good pedigrees that end up in the maiden claiming ranks probably can’t run at all. With the BRIS pp’s you can use the Sire Production Factor in concert with the pedigree rating. My own studies have shown a similar advantage for the inside post in routes.

Horse Racing System #3 – In maiden claiming races, bet the horse with the best pedigree. None of them work.

Look for comment lines like “bled”, “lost rider”, “clipped heels”, “stumbled”, “steadied”, “between horses”, “rank”, and “jumped shadows” that suggest that a horse’s last race was not indicative of its true ability. I was able to replicate this result in my own study of nearly 100,000 races conducted a decade later.

First time starters return only about 60 cents on the dollar, and second time starters are only a little better, returning less than 70 cents on the dollar. The inside post in turf routes actually showed a small profit, but this was based on a small sample size and cannot be relied upon. This is another mistake that bettors make: in a race with a clear standout, many people give up on the win pool and bet their choice to place, thinking that they’ll get paid even if the favorite wins.

In that spirit. Thanks for reading, and see you in the winner’s circle.

For as long as humans have bet on horse racing there have been system sellers trying to con the gullible into parting with their hard earned money with the lure of easy profits to be made on the sport of kings. I’ve identified some of the most useful handicapping factors that have a proven history of doing much better than the track takeout and put them together with some simple rules that should make your trips to the racetrack more fun and profitable. This system takes advantage of one of the few glaring inefficiencies in the parimutuel pools, namely that first and second time starters are badly over-bet.

In the first place, the parimutuel takeout in horse racing is large (over 15%) and the mutuel pools are relatively efficient, so that even systems with a strong basis in reality can’t overcome the size of the takeout.. My study suggests that’s not the case.

Horse Racing System #1 – In maiden races, bet the horse with the best last race speed figure that has had at least two career starts. To the extent that most handicappers use pedigree at all, it’s usually to identify horses that may improve when switched to the turf, or those who may be expected to win as first time starters

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The Art of Online Football Betting

Moreover, the online sports booking is a serious business run by serious people. .

The emergence of online football betting has created an issue and that is that many people want to know how to play online football betting.

What is soccer for the Americans is football for the rest of the world. The legalized process of online soccer betting enables all the stakeholders get their issues addressed by the concerned authority. The fraudulent companies involved in online soccer betting cannot stand for long as over the years their illegitimate operations are marked and authorities punish them for their fraudulent behavior; thus, punters need to be cautious about the fact that they do not do online soccer betting with such fraudulent online betting sites.

The industry worth billions of dollars, online soccer betting also creates legitimate jobs for thousands of people not only in Europe but also in several other countries where football betting is legal and does not fall under illegal operation. Played in nearly 200 nations in the world, the game is the most popular sport internationally. Thus, punters who participate in soccer betting often gamble upon the results of the games and try to make huge amount of money. A large number of online soccer betting sites have come up over the years which provide useful tips to punters which can be used to increase the chances of winning in an online soccer bet.

Though there are several fly-by-night operators claiming to be genuine online betting sites for soccer, a large number of genuine soccer betting sites are a sure shot for making huge money. A recent change however have been that Internet has enabled the punters do online football betting. Moreover, as the online sports booking industry has grown tremendously over the last couple of years, the stake and size too have increased. Its increased popularity amongst the masses has promoted the sports betting based on the game results, player’s performances, the overall results in the entire championship

Rules about steroid use in U.S. sport | Reuters

Only on the fifth positive test would a player be banned from playing for one year.

* All players are tested for prohibited substances at least once during the regular season. Under new rules, a positive test result causes a 50-game ban without pay. A first positive test would result in treatment and a second would lead to a 15-day suspension. Rules regarding use of amphetamines were also tightened.

(Reuters) -Disgraced Olympic sprinter Marion Jones was sentenced to six months in prison on Friday for lying to federal prosecutors about her steroid use.

* Steroids, diuretics, performance-enhancing drugs and masking agents are all prohibited substances.

* A first positive test will result in suspension for at least four games. The second positive test would result in suspension for at least eight games. A player would be kicked out of the NBA for a fourth positive.

* A player can come forward voluntarily if he is using a prohibited substance to get treatment without penalty. A third positive results in a one-year playing ban. Suspensions are all without pay.

Following are the current rules regarding steroids in various U.S. Each week during the regular season, 10 players on every team are randomly selected to be tested. A player would be suspended for 100 games for a second positive test and banned for life for the third positive result, though players can seek reinstatement after a two-year suspension. A second positive results in a 25-game suspension. A third positive leads to a one-year playing ban. Players under contract may also be tested up to six times during the off-season months.

* Prohibits the use of performance-enhancing drugs like anabolic steroids. In addition, random testing is conducted while preseason games are played. Any player who tests positive must go through treatment.

* In December 2005 the baseball players’ association approved a proposal by team owners to tighten up the steroid policy. * Prohibits the use of anabolic steroids, certain stimulants and human or animal growth hormones in addition to agents known to mask the presence of the drugs in urine.

* All players are subject to four random tests each season.

MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL

* A first-time positive test results in a 10-game suspension. Amphetamine use is also prohibited.. sports:

NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE

NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION

(Writing by Deborah Charles and Paul Grant)

* Testing in the Major Leagues began during spring training in 2003 but penalties were light

Casino-Gaming :: CASINOS – ONLINE vs. LAND-BASED

This way the jackpot grows quickly – that’s why it is called progressive. And mostly the progressive slots link between several other online casinos. The points can be redeemed for the casino credits. But when it comes to the fun, excitement and thrill, ask anyone who uses online casino and they will tell you that it is never the less from a land based casino. This means if someone wins an amount of $1,000,000, then he will receive a single check of one million. But today the games at online casinos are similar to the games of off line casinos. With an online slot, one plays by using virtual coins and not real one, of course the virtual coins are of the same value as the real coins are.

The online jackpots that range from $5000 – $100,000 are won regularly.

Mostly online casinos offer a comp program which works like more a player plays, the more points he gets.

Moreover one does not need to pay huge hotel bills or travel costs if online gambling is compared with gambling on a vacation – it just saves your time and extra money. The online casinos offer higher pay outs than the land-based casinos. Well, these differences between an online casino and a land-based casino will remain forever and that is for sure. And another difference is that one can play at his desired time from the comfort of his own home with an online slot which is not possible with an offline slot.

The Pay-Out Percentages –

Bonuses and Slot Comps – Now here is the real difference – free drinks and meals are offered at the land-based casinos, but an online casino does not offer you a free drink or meal, but instead of this it offers free money & some comp programs for the loyal players.

Another difference is that the prize of all the progressive jackpots is paid in one single installment. On the other side, at a land-based casino the jackpot prizes are paid over time in installments.

At an online casino, the slot machines are identical to those at the land based casinos. The main reason is that all the slots at offline casinos now have a chip that is responsible for the outcome of the spin.

Difference between slots at an online casino and offline casino -

When the online casinos were newly launched, the games were just different from those at the land based casinos. The current record for online casino jackpot is just $1,500,000 (that was hit on a slot called ‘Major Millions’).. And once you try an online casino, chances are that you will never move towards a land based casino.

The online slots look identical to the offline ones, but there are few differences. However, there are still some other differences between them and we will find that in this article. Some online casinos also offer merchandises against the points.

The Progressive Jackpots -

When it comes to million-dollar jackpots at the land based casinos, an online casino is not even yet close to that.

BUT, THE CHOICE IS SOLELY YOURS.

This is true that the cost of operating an online casino is much lower when compared to a land-based casino